By Darryl Robert Schoon

Last weekend started early for Timothy Geithner, President and CEO of the New York Federal Reserve. At 6 pm, Friday, Geithner called an emergency meeting to discuss the possible collapse of Wall Street investment bank, Lehman Bros.

The troubles of Lehman Bros had worsened during the previous week and the current Fed playbook dictated a solution be found on the weekend to calm financial markets opening Monday; but, this weekend, the Fed playbook came up empty, Lehman Bros. declared bankruptcy.

It’s official. The storm is here. In How To Survive The Crisis And Prosper In The Process, I predicted a global financial crisis would happen where real estate prices would fall 40-70%, stock markets would crash and a Great Depression would result.

Eighteen months later, the median price of housing in California is down 40 %, global stock markets are in disarray and although another depression has yet to begin, this weekend’s failure of Lehman Bros combined with the pressured sale of Merrill Lynch and the prospect of an AIG collapse are clear signs that we are now that much closer to the predicted end.

This is the end of a system. It is not a cyclical correction. It is not a market pullback and it is not a repricing of risk in an otherwise resilient marketplace. We are witness to the end of an economic system based on credit-based paper money that began 300 years ago in England. All beginnings have endings—and that we didn’t expect it to end doesn’t mean that it wouldn’t.

THE BANKERS’ BEGGING BOWL

Because Lehman Bros.’ CEO Richard Fuld received a $22 million bonus for his “work” in 2007 or perhaps because Fed officials had been openly criticized at their annual Jackson Hole soirée for their continuing bailouts of US investment banks, last weekend US officials unexpectedly informed Wall Street bankers that a government bailout of Lehman Bros. was not possible.

There is no political will for a Federal bailout…

Timothy Geithner, September 12, 2008

Geithner’s statement really means that Wall Street no longer possesses the requisite political muscle to extract more US dollars from a bankrupt electorate. Last weekend, Wall Street bankers finally understood that their privileged position in the welfare line of US government largesse had come to an end. This time, the banker’s begging bowl would remain empty.

With their co-conspirators in the US government no longer able or willing to provide additional US guarantees, the position of investment banks has now become increasingly fragile; and their newly hatched liquidity plan concocted by the bankers over the weekend is another indication of just how fragile their system is.
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The United States Treasury announced today that it will supplement funding to the Federal Reserve in order to shore up the central bank’s balance sheet. The Treasury said that the Federal Reserve requested the additional funding as they have gone through all their balance sheet assets trying to save the U.S. financial system.

In plain English this announcement by the Treasury means the Federal Reserve has run out of financial ammunition and as a result will start printing Federal Reserve Notes in order to buy the Treasury bills in order to fund its balance sheet. This also means this financial crisis is far from over as the Fed feels it needs to shore up its balance sheet.

Is it any wonder gold is up over $80 on the day as Ben Bernake crosses over the Rubicon in his helicopter?

by Bill Holter

To all; we are now entering uncharted territory. The government seizure of FNM and FRE opens up the next and terrifying chapter of the credit crunch. As I have posited many times before, this has NOW ENDED UP IN THE LAP OF THE U.S. TREASURY! The Treasury is now the backstop to all things paper. This will be a real life “Atlas shrugged”. There are huge implications to this step. The Treasury will now have between $5-6 Trillion of mortgage loans added to its balance sheet. The Treasury is in a huge deficit already to the tune of $10 Trillion of funded liabilities and over $70 Trillion of unfunded future liabilities. It is over. The U.S. Treasury is broke. This will take the entire banking system with it. The banking system will need to writedown $36 Billion of Fannie and Freddie preferred stock that is carried as core capital. This means at a 6% reserve ratio, that another $500 Billion of credit must be withdwrawn to keep capital ratios from collapsing. The Treasury stimulus plan was $140 Billion [remember those $600 checks]. Now 3 times that amount will have to be withdrawn from the credit pool unless Treasury doesn’t magically credit these banks with $36 Billion.

There is no telling how much the carried loans are really worth in todays market as even prime loans are only fetching .80 cents on the Dollar. This will cost at least $1 Trillion at a minimum for starters. It will all be printed. The credit rating of the U.S. will be downgraded, the interest rates the Treasury will now have to pay will increase substantially. This is so Dollar negative it goes beyond words to describe it. The borrowing ability of the Treasury is now being hamstrung by the same credit crunch that we were assured last Sept. was “contained”. I’m sorry but the ruse is over. A government running a deficit can only do two things to cover the gap, borrow more or print. They can’t raise taxes because that will implode the economy even worse than it already is. They will find it more and more difficult to borrow the sums needed until the auctions begin to fail. Then the “black helicopters” will be out in full force spreading freshly printed Dollars. The dilutive effect to the Dollar will be astonishing. We are entering the Weimar Republic phase. The Treasury will be crushed under debt and the Dollar [Fed] will be crushed through overissuance of new currency used to buy the Treasury debt.
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by James McShirley

Now we know. The giant black hole of derivatives at JPM is about to become the size of Jupiter. With the utter failure of Fannie and Freddie (a culmination of what I predicted 12 years ago) Fannie and Freddie’s massive derivatives portfolios can now be hidden from public scrutiny. These trillions of derivatives, which in likelihood have already failed, can now be whitewashed with the able assistance of the US taxpayer. Also the true values of their mortgage portfolios gets deep-sixed. This is no doubt the single largest financial failure in the history of the world. The Fed had every reason to previously discontinue M-3 reporting. Can you imagine what is about to happen to the dollar supply once this catastrophe starts getting paid for? Look for wild market gyrations as these derivatives get dealt with by the insiders who will now know both sides of the trade. What a deal, the taxpayer backs you and you know both sides of the trade, how can you lose? The derivatives may now become hidden from view, but the inflationary implications will become VERY evident. Another ominous problem facing FNM and FRE is a collapse in their pension plans and retirement funds. Retirees and current employees holding FNM/FRE stock will get wiped out, however a pension fund collapse would mean open revolt. This is another side-bailout I see coming.

Since FNM/FRE’s gigantic derivatives allegedly hedged against rising interest rates I think it’s safe to say you won’t be seeing any Fed interest rate hikes coming soon. This government takeover of the largest financial entity in America has in one fell swoop put into question ANY guarantee of debt, sovereign or otherwise. With this news gold should be up hundreds, maybe a thousand dollars if free markets were allowed. They will need to throw the kitchen sink at paper gold to prevent it from revealing the truth of what just happened. US Treasury bond prices now look egregiously high. This time it might not work. Next up for the weekend-only government news release program? Bailouts for GM, Ford, the entire banking industry, and who knows, if I’m hearing Bill Gross correctly maybe even PIMCO.

By Antal Fekete

Gold Standard University Live

The title refers to Aesop’s tale about the wolf that has lost his tail in a trap. As he felt uncomfortable being so different from others in the pack, he tried to persuade his fellow wolves that they, too, should get rid of this cumbersome and useless appendage. He declared that “the tail of a real wolf is a barbarous relic”. Read on to find out how an experienced wise old wolf answered him.

Like all of Aesop’s tales, this one also has a modern message. When Uncle Sam in 1971 defaulted on his gold obligations, he did not want people to call a spade a spade. He wanted them to call the American default, more elegantly, the ’demonetization of gold’. He was trying to persuade others to demonetize gold, too, by discarding it as a “barbarous relic”. Yet he was disingenuous enough to keep the remnants of his gold while pushing others to sell theirs. He urged them to auction off that cumbersome and useless appendage and put the proceeds into US Treasury paper.”"Cut off your tail to save my face!”

The late Mr. Ferdinand Lips asked me to write an introduction to his book “Gold Wars”. I was delighted and the outcome is reproduced below. In my dedicated copy Mr. Lips wrote the following kind words:
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By Darryl Robert Schoon

The engine used to run on premium, e.g. gold and silver; now it’s being run on credit which over time will destroy the engine and everything else.

The euro, the yuan, the yen, and the dollar are The Four Tires Of The Apocalypse, an event that recently appears to have come out of nowhere. It didn’t. Its apparently sudden appearance is new only to those who wished to see otherwise.

The destructive juggernaut now bearing down on the financial house of cards constructed by central bankers contained within it the seeds of its own destruction from its very beginning. Over time, those seeds would turn into Cerberus, the hound of hell, on whose mercy Bernanke et. al. now depends.

Epochs, like movies, need time to reveal protagonists and antagonists, as well as victims, villains and victors. We are now at the end of an epoch and as the final scene opens, the program notes are becoming disturbingly clear.

We find ourselves participants in the last and final act of capitalism and its credit based capital markets—or more correctly, credit and/or debt markets masquerading as free markets.

THE BIRTH OF CERBERUS
THE GENESIS OF THE JUGGERNAUT

Capitalism did not appear until the Bank of England began issuing its debt-based paper money in 1694. The issuance of credit as money gave rise to capital markets where debt-based money replaced savings-based money
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An article in the Sunday Telegraph ( 27 July, 2008) reveals that HM Treasury is planning to bail out U.K. mortgage lenders to the tune of amost £50 billion! The article explains that the Treasury would swap or exchange Gilt Edged Treasury paper for mortgage debt! Basically Gilt Edged Treasury paper is a euphemism for ripping off the taxpayer through the indirect tax called inflation. What else would one expect from a socialist governmet?
The Sunday Telegraph Article

This is President Nixon’s announcement of the end of gold convertibility for the American dollar. It is interesting to note that all the great things Mr Nixon predicted would happen like a stronger dollar, low inflation and a rebalancing of the trade deficit didn’t! In fact with the abandonment of gold as a monetary anchor the dollar has gone from just over 4 Swiss francs to almost parity today against the franc. Inflation was rampant in the 1970’s also as Mr Nixon closed the “gold window” and has remained rampant ever since and as a result created multiple bubbles of which the latest is the housing bubble. As for the trade deficit it has only gotten worse! America nowadays exports roughly $700 billion less than it imports from abroad! One also only needed $35 back in 1971 to buy one troy ounce of gold! The Austrian School of Economics was right that if the dollar was allowed to float versus gold the value of the dollar would plummet against the yellow metal! Milton Friedman and other mainstream economist were completely incorrect as they pointed out that the value of gold would drop precipitously once the gold standard was abandoned.